Friday, March 5, 2010

The Future of Desktops

Another interesting discussion on ebizQ today about a recent statement by Google's European director of online sales, John Herlihy, who said that in three years time the desktop will be irrelevant.

Ok, it sounds good and is memorable. But just how true is this statement?

I basically agreed with Nari Kannan's point of view.

Mainframes were supposed to be obsolete a long time ago. But in fact, according to Gartner, the mainframe has gained 16 percent of market share in the high-end server category since 2001. IBM seems to believe this since it unveiled the z9 in the 2005, following a three-year, $1.2 billion development project and the z10 in 2008, which it spent $1.5 billion and five years developing.

Last year we heard the proclamation that "SOA is dead." The fact is, however, that with the Cloud Computing boom, SOA is picking up even more steam as applications either migrate or get built for the cloud.

Sometimes I wonder if declaring a technology dead has the reverse effect on it. In that case, if Google really wants desktops gone, declaring them irrelevant may not be the best strategy after all. :)

* Originally posted in the ebizQ Friday Forum on March 5, 2010

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